Monday, January 8, 2018

Israel and the Palestinian Authority- Whats next?

President trumps "deal" regarding a middle east peace treaty has become almost public.
Extension of the Gaza strip into the Egyptian Sinai and autonomy for area A and B.
Area C will be annexed to Israel and all living there will be given the option of Israeli citizenship.
Thats the deal.
Of course the Arab side has rejected this deal as it is not focused on the destruction of Israel.
So what happens now? There could be a temporary deal that includes everything that the permanent deal has except for a recognition of a Palestinian state and the end of all hostilities.
A war may happen in the summer in the Gaza strip.
If this happens then the Hamas leaders will be killed and the PLO may take over and implement this temporary deal.
Hard to say what comes next.

Tuesday, January 2, 2018

Iran- the beginning of the end of the regime

Iran is going down the drain or so it seems.
Hard to ascertain what is really going on but things look difficult for the Iranian leadership.
Things become even bleaker for Hamas as it is dependent on Iran for much needed funds just to survive.
Hard to understand where 1.2 billion dollars went that the US gave to Iran after nuclear deal.
It went into corrupt pockets and funded terror around the world.
The Iranians have had enough and things are coming apart at the seems.
Hard to say what comes next or how fast things come apart.
It is happening very fast and lets all hope it does not take long.
Won't be pretty.

Monday, December 25, 2017

The next war in the Middle east

The next war in the middle east is only a matter of time.
It always is.
Though hizbulah is Shia and Hamas is sunni they are planning a joint effort in the next war.
Or so goes the rumor.
They will both attack at the same time is the guess.
Israel is planning on an attack of this kind and is training.
The reason this was has not broken out yet is that both armies will be defeated or even obliterated.
The Gaza strip will be retaken but south Lebanon wil likely not be captured.
The Hizbullah are waitibg for help from Iran to actually start war.
Unclear what is to happen next.
It is too quiet.

Sunday, December 24, 2017

The Middle East

Well what happens now?
The charade of a peace process is quickly becoming less than a charade.
What will happen now?
As president Trump predicted, not much.
An American peace inaitive will offer a larger state in Gaza with limited rule in Judea and Smaria.
That will be the jist of of the plan with vast money offered to launch such a plan.
As the Hamas will not accept such a plan a war is lilkely as soon as the weather improves in the Gaza strip.
Then Egypt will help in helping this start up state in the elongated Gaza strip.
Israel will contemplate anexxing parts of Judea and Samaria to Israel in next few years.
A new real intifada seems unlikely at this point.
You can be sure that the American embassy will be standing before president Trump leaves office.
Going to be fun.

Thursday, December 21, 2017

Trump and Jerusalem

Trump and Jerusalem has been the talk of the world lately.
The two state solution is dead , very dead.
so now what?
The two state solution is dead but the process will continue.
The process that never lead anywhere will continue to lead nowhere.
Nothing will happen in all probability in near future.
The Palestinian authority will continue to try to figure out how to stay relevant to continue to receive salaries and handouts from Europe and the US.
To try to maintain a farce is not easy but this is what is happening.
There will be a vote in the general assembly today against the Trump decision.
It has no real meaning but symbolizes the hatred of Israel and the US in international forums.
Will be a fun show today at the UN.
Best show in town.

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

North Korea and WW3

Not Good.
Kim Jong un is clearly a paranoid nut job that is playing chicken with the world.
What can Trump do?br> Someone needs to take out this maniac.
someone from his inner circle.
It is inconceivable that one man can hold the world hostage.
Something has to give and soon.
Israel is looking at this crisis not just as a bystander.
It is reasonable to assume that Iran will get technology from North Korea to try to attack Israel someday.
Perfection of Rocket and nuclear technology does not bode well for anyone especially Israel.
Lets see what happens.

Thursday, November 23, 2017

Trump peace initiative

Ho Hum here we go again.
For all of President Trumps desire to achieve the ultimate deal in the middle east, there is no hope.
Rumors abound regarding the details of this deal but they are not important at all.
There will never be a deal between the parties as the scope of the differences is so great a deal is impossible.
Why do so many continue to try?
There clearly is much at stake at trying to avoid another Arab Israeli war.
The scope of this war is greatly exaggerated as the key players are no longer participants.
Splinter groups such Hamas and Hizbullah do threaten Israel but would not pay any attention to any peace treaty anyway.
But so many have tried to do the impossible and make this deal.
It has not happened in one hundred years, it wont happen now.