Sunday, February 18, 2018

The Middle East

There are rumblings both in northern Israel and Southern Israel and they both do no tbode well.
It seems that the North which involves Irans prozy Hizbullah is a more dangerous and volatile area.
The Hamas in the south are crippled financially and do not seem ready for war.
They have suffered in previus wars and likley do not want the IDF to crush them again.
Some say that the desperation will lead the Hama and others in the strip to desperate measures.
Hard to say.
Israel has warned that if war breaks out then the Hamas will be erdicated in the strip.
This is scaring Hamas a bit and may make it hesitant to seek confronation with Israel.
The Hizbullah is an entire different story.
Iran is seeking confrontation and is testing the waters with a drone attack a bout a week ago..
The winds of war are starting to be felt.

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

The Israeli prime minister

So he is being investigated.
So what else is new?
A very long dragged out process that will likley tax evryones energy and lead nowhere.
The Palestinians likely will hope the Israeli left gets to power.
They are living in a dream world of sorts.
If Neyanyahu is indeed indicted then things might get interesting regarding who takes over.
Not likely in any event.

Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Trumps looking good

The stock market had a mini-crash but is going up again.
Trump is looking smart and is running country like a business.
People are back to work and everyone seems happier.
He is likely a shoe in to get reelected despite the media being against him.
The US ecomomy is rocking and that my friends is what people really care about.
He will be president until the end of second term.
Then Pence.

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

State of the Union

Trumps speech was terrific.
He seems a shoe in to get reelected.
Things are better in the US and people are working and making money.
Many hwo did not vote for Trump should be happy he got elected as they are working again and off welfare.
People who have invested in the market have made lots of money as well.
The market has soared since Trump took office.
Hard to argue with success.
Many polls are out saying he is unpopular.
Fake news biig time.
Unemployent is low and people are earning more money.
Not complicated.
The US will save money not granting aid to anti American countries which may offset som eof the Tax cuts looming.
He is a shoe in to be reelected.
President Pence in in 2024 sounds OK

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Pence Trump and all the rest

He did mention a two state solution.
Only if the parties agree.
They never will.
The re is no clear solution to this conflict.
The Arab nationalistic movement did not does not and will not accept the Jews here in Israel.
That remains the core source of the conflict.
There is little reason to believe that this will change any time soon if ever.
The demographic problem remains as there is no chance of a so called Palestinian state.
As Israel slowly anexese Judea and Samaria to its legal boundaries.
These have some solutions which all have flaws but are doable.
There will never be a Palestinian State.
It won't happen.

Monday, January 15, 2018

The PLO is in shambles

Talk about a bad week or month or year.
The head of the PLO has lost it with verbal abuse of almost everyone.
He has cursed President Trump by saying his house should be destroyed.
Sounds like incitement to me.
There is nothing left for the PLO to do other than continue sort of the current situation.
This would mean security arrangements with Israel and continued funding by the US or just giving up on the Palestinian authority.
The latter will likely not happen as to much money is involved.
They will seek permanent member status at the UN.
Who will fund all this silliness? Time will tell how this plays out.

Monday, January 8, 2018

Israel and the Palestinian Authority- Whats next?

President trumps "deal" regarding a middle east peace treaty has become almost public.
Extension of the Gaza strip into the Egyptian Sinai and autonomy for area A and B.
Area C will be annexed to Israel and all living there will be given the option of Israeli citizenship.
Thats the deal.
Of course the Arab side has rejected this deal as it is not focused on the destruction of Israel.
So what happens now? There could be a temporary deal that includes everything that the permanent deal has except for a recognition of a Palestinian state and the end of all hostilities.
A war may happen in the summer in the Gaza strip.
If this happens then the Hamas leaders will be killed and the PLO may take over and implement this temporary deal.
Hard to say what comes next.