The Peace Process

Abu Mazen has left Washington and nobody really noticed.
The Obama sponsored and Kerry driven talks are just where they were 9 months ago.
It seems incredible that so much time, energy and money can be spent on completely wasteful talks.
Is it right for the American taxpayer yo foot the bill for so many trips to the Middle East for fruitless meetings?
There will be no two state solution.
It never really had a chance to begin with.
The real question is what is to happen now?
It is likely that a new Arab INTIFADA will envelope the region as the Arab side attempts to gain statehood through international channels.
There will have to be a bold Israeli leader who is willing to make bold moves in the wake of the break down of negotiations.
This leader will need to annex to Israel parts of Judea and Samaria while slowly offering different levels of citizenship to Arabs living there.
There will need to be massive Aliya of Jews from around the world to Judea and Samaria to keep demographics in check.
How many times has Kerry been here in the last 8 months?

The sound of silence

We hear nothing after the sumit meeting between the Prime Minister of Israel and the President of the United States.
No press conference, no statement, nothing.
We can guess what went on after the press was asked to leave the oval office.
President Obama " this is Israels last chance, you must agree to a Palestinian state on pre 1967 borders including Jerusalem.
The Prime minister says " give me Pollard and recognition of a Jewsih state and I will convince Israelis of all that is needed.
The President says you will get Pollard when Israel signs a piece treaty.
Prime minister " what concessions is Abu Mazen making "??.
John Kerry " he has agreed to non-violence " The prime minister rolls his eyes and the meetimg ends.
All to familiar ending to meetings of this kind.
Now Abu MAzen will sit in the hot seat.
Its all such a waste of time.
The worst is yet to come.

Peace negotiations

The merry go round continues to around.
Prime Minister Netanyahu is about to land in the United States.
He presumably will be presented with a agreement of sorts from John Kerry about a framework agreement.
He will be pressured by Barack Obama to accept a agreement.
It is very hard to understand what type of framework agreement can be presented.
The chief Palastnian negotiater Saab Baarekat has just recently said for the hundreth time that there will be no recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people. He reiterated this saying it was " unthinkable ".
Meanwhile there seems to be complete confusion in Washington as to what to now.
There is a clear understanding that the talks will fail as all others have failed before.
As an incredible stroke of bad luck on Obamas and Kerry's part a looming crisis in Ukraine may put the Israeli Palestinian issue on the back burner.
The truth of the matter is that the two state solution is dead and that it was never a real option.
That cold reality is staring to sink in to everybody.
The question is what happens next?
Three possible scenarios
1. The Palestinian athourity resigns and tells israel to " take over " Judea and Samaria.
2. Both Israel and the Palestinains take unilteral steps. The Palestinain steps would be a one sided declartion of independence in all of pre 1967 borders. The Israeli steps would include anexing parts of Judea and Samaria.
3. A third Intifada or uprising of the Palestinians
There may be some variations of some of these scenarios together.
There is Zero chance of any agreement and a slight chance of agreeing to continue to talk for another period of time.
It will be a big mess

Crunch time for John Kerry

The process that just stays as a process is getting to crunch time.
Its practically now or never.
It's like a grand poker game with extremly high stakes.
Everyone here is bluffing.
John Kerry is bluffing that a peace deal is at hand.
It is clearly not.
Benjamin Natanyahu is bluffing when he says he is ready to live side by side with a Palestinian state.
Abu Mazen is bluffing when he says he wants peace and represents the Palestinian people.
It's all a big bluff game as the stakes keep getting higher and higher.
But very soon Kerry will need to show his hand and so will Bibi and Abu Mazen.
Who is the master poker player here?
Netanyahu seems to be the best at this.
Its crunch time.

Zionism and Intermarriage

Israels prime minister has been put in a very embarassing situation with his son Yair dating seriuosly a non Jewish woman from Norway.
As the politiclal leader of Israel he has made it a point of insisting in peace negotitations that Israel be recognized as the Jewish state of the Jewish people.
In his view and many others having a state is critical for survival of the Jewish people.
As he is busy explaining this to the whole world his son is contemplating marrying a non Jew.
Intermarriage is the greatest threat to Jewish people. Benjiman Netanyahu has been saying for some time that Israel is and will continue to be the Jewsih peoples greatest strength.
It is terribly ironic that the son of the prime minister would erode the central mantra of his father.
This has to be a great headache to his father and any other Jews around the world.
Let's hope this relationship falls apart very soon.

Sharon has died while Kerry does not know when to quit

The former Prime Minister of Israel has died, Ariel Sharon has died and few have shed real tears. Very few people came to pay repects to this man of many contridictions.
After the funeral and in the last few days there has been a minor war of attrition between the Hamas and the Israeli army.
These events ar still connected to Sharons travesty of a unilateral pullout from the Gaza Strip over eight years ago.
Any subsequent pullout by the IDF from other strategic areas will result in similiar shellings and bombings of Israel.
Kerry is obsessed with reaching a deal at any cost, reality be damned.
It is a clear dead end that Kerry is facing and all the meetings in the world will not change that stark reality.
His boss President Obama needs some " winning policy " as his presidency seem to be spinning out of control.
The real question is what happens next? When it hits the fan that Kerry has failed as he must, what then? One scenario has not been discussed to much.
As the Arab world deals with crisis after crisis it might grow tired of a problem they created to bother Israel with.
As they see that the palestinians are acting as stubborn ingrates they will wash there hands of the entire problem.
when that happens a solution based on one man one vote in large parts of Judea and samaria may happen.
there may be some demographic changes that include minor land moves.
Kerry is wasting his time and US taxpayer money.

Sharon is dying

The former General and Prime Minister and lets not forget Defense Minister is very close to death. In fact when many of you read this article he will probably be dead.
Incredibly for all the things he has done there will be few shedding a tear when the end comes.
The left will never really forgive him for being instrumental in the building of so many settlements in Judea and Samaria.
The right wing and settler movement despise him for his actions in the forcible removal of Jewish settlements in the Gaza strip in 2005.
His scoffing at critics and predictions of doom if he carried out his ethinic cleansing policy in the Gaza strip became famous.
His pompous attitude to all became his last legacy before he collapsed from a serious of strokes.
It was clear that he was over weight and to many it was a manefistation of his attiude that no one can could tell him what to do or how to live his life.
He will be remembered not as a successful military man but mainly as someone who lied to his constituients and stabbed in the back his most loyal backers.
Few are really upset at his condition except for immediate family and some die hard backers.
Jewish children will remember him as a evil person who caused untold heartache to thousands of settler families.