Sunday, February 28, 2010

The Middle East mess

The main character in the formulation of the practical steps in creating a Jewish state has to be Benjamin Theodor Herzl. He was appalled by the anti-semitism in Europe and thought a Jewish homeland would solve this problem. He was very wrong.
Anti-semitism mutates and takes on different manifestations, it is now the rallying call for leftist liberal organizations and of course many Arab countries. In fact one country Iran is threatening to wipe Israel off the map and create a new middle east without Zionists. He is marching the region to another very big war. And the following could be a likely scenario.

Even after continued and extensive sanctions Iran continues to develop nuclear weapons. Barack Obama is hesitant about militarily engaging Iran on its nuclear program and has adopted James Baker s principle of keeping a nuclear Iran in check through mutual deterrence. Israel cannot live in the shadow of a nuclear threat and decides to act decisively to destroy Irans nuclear capability. It strikes multiple sites simultaneously in a lighting strike similar to the strike that started the six day war . Iran retaliates by firing multiple missiles all over Israel that strike all of Israel major cities. The hizbullah in the North join the fight and start to bombard Israel from Lebanon. The Hamas in the south joins the fight as well and attacks Israels southern flank . While all this is happening Syria tries to retake the Golan heights by force moving its armor and airforce towards Israeli positions on the heights. Many of the Arab residents of Judea and Samaria feel exhilarated by the impending demise of the Jewish state and riot starting a third Intifada.

This scenario is not dissimilar to what happened just before and after the six-day war. Israel was threatened then by Nasser to be thrown into the sea and the same threat can be heard from Achmennegad of Iran. Many other Arab countries wanted to take part in this planned annihilation of Israel and the same is true now.

Israel obviously hopes that the outcome will be similar to the six day way scenario while the Arabs have not forsaken their dream of annihilating Israel.

The fact that Israel has started distributing gas masks may give an indication where all this is leading.

It won’t be pretty.

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