Monday, December 25, 2017

The next war in the Middle east

The next war in the middle east is only a matter of time.
It always is.
Though hizbulah is Shia and Hamas is sunni they are planning a joint effort in the next war.
Or so goes the rumor.
They will both attack at the same time is the guess.
Israel is planning on an attack of this kind and is training.
The reason this was has not broken out yet is that both armies will be defeated or even obliterated.
The Gaza strip will be retaken but south Lebanon wil likely not be captured.
The Hizbullah are waitibg for help from Iran to actually start war.
Unclear what is to happen next.
It is too quiet.

Sunday, December 24, 2017

The Middle East

Well what happens now?
The charade of a peace process is quickly becoming less than a charade.
What will happen now?
As president Trump predicted, not much.
An American peace inaitive will offer a larger state in Gaza with limited rule in Judea and Smaria.
That will be the jist of of the plan with vast money offered to launch such a plan.
As the Hamas will not accept such a plan a war is lilkely as soon as the weather improves in the Gaza strip.
Then Egypt will help in helping this start up state in the elongated Gaza strip.
Israel will contemplate anexxing parts of Judea and Samaria to Israel in next few years.
A new real intifada seems unlikely at this point.
You can be sure that the American embassy will be standing before president Trump leaves office.
Going to be fun.

Thursday, December 21, 2017

Trump and Jerusalem

Trump and Jerusalem has been the talk of the world lately.
The two state solution is dead , very dead.
so now what?
The two state solution is dead but the process will continue.
The process that never lead anywhere will continue to lead nowhere.
Nothing will happen in all probability in near future.
The Palestinian authority will continue to try to figure out how to stay relevant to continue to receive salaries and handouts from Europe and the US.
To try to maintain a farce is not easy but this is what is happening.
There will be a vote in the general assembly today against the Trump decision.
It has no real meaning but symbolizes the hatred of Israel and the US in international forums.
Will be a fun show today at the UN.
Best show in town.