It is hard to believe that the smartest or best intentioned people can solve a problem that is inherently insolvable.
The deal of the century as it is being called cannot solve a conflict that is defined by the continuation of the conflict.
The Palestinain authority and the other factions in the Gaza strip are defined by the "struggle".
There is no peace deal that can be proposed that can solve the issue.
There cannot be and will not be a Palastinain state with East Jerusalem as its capital .
The Arabs know deep down that Israel will never relinqiush control over the temple mount and the Western Wall.
The Arab side has said clearly that there is no interest in any plan that does not consist of a complete withdrawal from all areas captured in 1967.
Israel will never ever do this.
The moderate Arab states who used the Palestiain issue to harm Israel have much more important things on their mind now.
Its all a great waste of time.
May cause a war when it all hits the fan.
Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Saturday, June 23, 2018
Trump peace plan
President Trumps Son in Law Jared Kushner and special envoy to the Middle East Jason Greenblatt are to announce very soon a new Peace plan.
Many have tried and not succeeded to do this.
To be skeptical as to the viability of a workable deal seems reasonable.
Nonetheless Trump has been doing seemingly impossible things of late in many areas so it is difficult to completely rule out some progress.
The plan will be regional and will involve all parties to conflict.
It will involve massive amounts of money destined to build infrastructure in the Gaza strip and elsewhere.The main problems seem to be the lack of real transparency in the Palestinian authority and the dictatorship in the Gaza strip.
It is hard to say what really might happen when plan is placed on table but likely very little.
The basic problem was and remains that Israel is not being accepted as a Jewish State
The Arab side is waiting for a different president to get concessions from the Israelis.
It is possible that a combo of the death of Machmoud Abas And a complete collapse of rule in Gaza might shake things up a bit.
It is hard to see any real long term solution to this mess of over 100 years.
Trump after all cannot do the impossible.
Many have tried and not succeeded to do this.
To be skeptical as to the viability of a workable deal seems reasonable.
Nonetheless Trump has been doing seemingly impossible things of late in many areas so it is difficult to completely rule out some progress.
The plan will be regional and will involve all parties to conflict.
It will involve massive amounts of money destined to build infrastructure in the Gaza strip and elsewhere.The main problems seem to be the lack of real transparency in the Palestinian authority and the dictatorship in the Gaza strip.
It is hard to say what really might happen when plan is placed on table but likely very little.
The basic problem was and remains that Israel is not being accepted as a Jewish State
The Arab side is waiting for a different president to get concessions from the Israelis.
It is possible that a combo of the death of Machmoud Abas And a complete collapse of rule in Gaza might shake things up a bit.
It is hard to see any real long term solution to this mess of over 100 years.
Trump after all cannot do the impossible.
Thursday, June 21, 2018
Looming war in the Gaza Strip
Something has to give and soon.
The constant exchange of fire along the Israel and Gazan border will sooner or later lead to war.
The Hamas and Jihad Islami are playing Russian Roulette gambling that nothing can cause the IDF to reenter the strip for many diffrent reasons.
They are wrong
There is a plan and maybe even a date but more importanly thre seem to be clear hints that something is about to happen.
The Prime minister Defens minister and chief of staff all say that something is about to happen.
Clearly if a rocket attack kills civilians in Israel that would be a trigger for a full scale invasion of the strip.
There must be a set plan of what to do when the IDF finally retakes Gaza.
It's about to happen .
The worst is yet to come.
The constant exchange of fire along the Israel and Gazan border will sooner or later lead to war.
The Hamas and Jihad Islami are playing Russian Roulette gambling that nothing can cause the IDF to reenter the strip for many diffrent reasons.
They are wrong
There is a plan and maybe even a date but more importanly thre seem to be clear hints that something is about to happen.
The Prime minister Defens minister and chief of staff all say that something is about to happen.
Clearly if a rocket attack kills civilians in Israel that would be a trigger for a full scale invasion of the strip.
There must be a set plan of what to do when the IDF finally retakes Gaza.
It's about to happen .
The worst is yet to come.
Monday, June 18, 2018
The New war of attrition
After the six-day war there began a war of attrition between Israel and the Egyptian army which lasted until the Yom Kippur war in 1973.
It was a bitter war that had a demoralizing effect on the Israeli army.
It is happening again now along the border between Israel and the Gaza strip.
Almost constant barrage of rockets or incendiary Kites from the Gazan side with retaliatory strikes from Israel.
It cannot and will not go on like this for much longer.
The IDF does not want to enter the strip and is even less interested in being responsible for the 2 million people who live there.
At some point it will happen though.
There will be little choice.
The mess created by the unilateral withdrawal from the strip over ten years ago is still with us.
There is no optimum solution but there are some steps that could be partial solutions.
An entire section of the Sinai desert should be allocated for Gazan residents.
Infrastructure for at least 50,000 new homes should be built to allow the true poorest of Gazan residents adequate housing.
With the rampant corruption in Gaza it may be very difficult to allocate these housing units fairly.
A European country together with the UN might coordinate such a project.
This idea is likely to be a part of the peace plan that will be presented some day by President Trumps team.
The main leaders of the Hamas and Jihad movement will need to be killed or arrested.
This will be no easy task to say the least/
If the Egyptian military could govern the strip and its new section until new elections are held.
The Hamas and Jihad need to be outlawed and more normal parties should run in elections.
This is also a very difficult task indeed.
As much territory along the coastline should be allocated to the Gazan population to ease the extreme poverty and overcrowding.
There are many more steps to take after the takeover of Israel in the next foray into the strip
It is going to happen sooner or later
Probably sooner.
It was a bitter war that had a demoralizing effect on the Israeli army.
It is happening again now along the border between Israel and the Gaza strip.
Almost constant barrage of rockets or incendiary Kites from the Gazan side with retaliatory strikes from Israel.
It cannot and will not go on like this for much longer.
The IDF does not want to enter the strip and is even less interested in being responsible for the 2 million people who live there.
At some point it will happen though.
There will be little choice.
The mess created by the unilateral withdrawal from the strip over ten years ago is still with us.
There is no optimum solution but there are some steps that could be partial solutions.
An entire section of the Sinai desert should be allocated for Gazan residents.
Infrastructure for at least 50,000 new homes should be built to allow the true poorest of Gazan residents adequate housing.
With the rampant corruption in Gaza it may be very difficult to allocate these housing units fairly.
A European country together with the UN might coordinate such a project.
This idea is likely to be a part of the peace plan that will be presented some day by President Trumps team.
The main leaders of the Hamas and Jihad movement will need to be killed or arrested.
This will be no easy task to say the least/
If the Egyptian military could govern the strip and its new section until new elections are held.
The Hamas and Jihad need to be outlawed and more normal parties should run in elections.
This is also a very difficult task indeed.
As much territory along the coastline should be allocated to the Gazan population to ease the extreme poverty and overcrowding.
There are many more steps to take after the takeover of Israel in the next foray into the strip
It is going to happen sooner or later
Probably sooner.
Sunday, June 17, 2018
Th e Israeli army , the draft and religous soldeirs
The real question lies whether Israel really wants Religous soldiers in its ranks.
A week ago a highly decorated officer who is clearly religous was denied a key post that many thought he deserved.
The trend of marginilizing religous soldiers in the Israeli army is not new , it has been going on for a long time ideed.
One the one hand the IDF claims it wants religous soldiers and on the other does everthing to make sure the Army does not get too religous.
The examples of this are many.
The present head of the army is seen as being concerned over religous indoctrination in the army and has done specific things to limit the scope of the Rabbinate of the army and its influence on soldiers.
As more and more religous soldiers and even more CHARDIE soldiers fill the ranks of the IDF this should be a concern for all.
A Jewidh army travels on Jewih ethics.
Denying and fighting that is dangerous for moral and the armies ultimate success.
A week ago a highly decorated officer who is clearly religous was denied a key post that many thought he deserved.
The trend of marginilizing religous soldiers in the Israeli army is not new , it has been going on for a long time ideed.
One the one hand the IDF claims it wants religous soldiers and on the other does everthing to make sure the Army does not get too religous.
The examples of this are many.
The present head of the army is seen as being concerned over religous indoctrination in the army and has done specific things to limit the scope of the Rabbinate of the army and its influence on soldiers.
As more and more religous soldiers and even more CHARDIE soldiers fill the ranks of the IDF this should be a concern for all.
A Jewidh army travels on Jewih ethics.
Denying and fighting that is dangerous for moral and the armies ultimate success.
He knows what he doing
It's hard for many Trump haters to admit that he seems to know what he is doing.
He has revititlized the American economy lowering unemployment and send the stock market to new all time highs.
He has semingly done the impossible and brought North Korea to its senses by meeting with tis leader a few weeks ago.
He has cancelled the Iran nuclear deal which posed a great threat to the United States and its ally Israel.
He is successful . His opponenets are having diffifculty attacking him as they too feel that he is a man of his word and is likely to be reelected for a second term.
There has not been a reasonable candidate that the democrats have put forth that will challenge him.
With good reason.
They are afraid to lose their polotical shirts.
Rumors abound that Michelle Obama may give it a whirl.
That should be fun.
Did I mention he will likely win the Nobel Peace prize?
He has revititlized the American economy lowering unemployment and send the stock market to new all time highs.
He has semingly done the impossible and brought North Korea to its senses by meeting with tis leader a few weeks ago.
He has cancelled the Iran nuclear deal which posed a great threat to the United States and its ally Israel.
He is successful . His opponenets are having diffifculty attacking him as they too feel that he is a man of his word and is likely to be reelected for a second term.
There has not been a reasonable candidate that the democrats have put forth that will challenge him.
With good reason.
They are afraid to lose their polotical shirts.
Rumors abound that Michelle Obama may give it a whirl.
That should be fun.
Did I mention he will likely win the Nobel Peace prize?
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