Sunday, February 28, 2010

The Middle East mess

The main character in the formulation of the practical steps in creating a Jewish state has to be Benjamin Theodor Herzl. He was appalled by the anti-semitism in Europe and thought a Jewish homeland would solve this problem. He was very wrong.
Anti-semitism mutates and takes on different manifestations, it is now the rallying call for leftist liberal organizations and of course many Arab countries. In fact one country Iran is threatening to wipe Israel off the map and create a new middle east without Zionists. He is marching the region to another very big war. And the following could be a likely scenario.

Even after continued and extensive sanctions Iran continues to develop nuclear weapons. Barack Obama is hesitant about militarily engaging Iran on its nuclear program and has adopted James Baker s principle of keeping a nuclear Iran in check through mutual deterrence. Israel cannot live in the shadow of a nuclear threat and decides to act decisively to destroy Irans nuclear capability. It strikes multiple sites simultaneously in a lighting strike similar to the strike that started the six day war . Iran retaliates by firing multiple missiles all over Israel that strike all of Israel major cities. The hizbullah in the North join the fight and start to bombard Israel from Lebanon. The Hamas in the south joins the fight as well and attacks Israels southern flank . While all this is happening Syria tries to retake the Golan heights by force moving its armor and airforce towards Israeli positions on the heights. Many of the Arab residents of Judea and Samaria feel exhilarated by the impending demise of the Jewish state and riot starting a third Intifada.

This scenario is not dissimilar to what happened just before and after the six-day war. Israel was threatened then by Nasser to be thrown into the sea and the same threat can be heard from Achmennegad of Iran. Many other Arab countries wanted to take part in this planned annihilation of Israel and the same is true now.

Israel obviously hopes that the outcome will be similar to the six day way scenario while the Arabs have not forsaken their dream of annihilating Israel.

The fact that Israel has started distributing gas masks may give an indication where all this is leading.

It won’t be pretty.

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Crazy Middle East

Who are they trying to kid?

A new mini crisis has broken out in the never ending cycle of failed talks between Israel and the Palestinians. This time The Palestinians say they refuse to go back to the negotiating table after the Israeli government announced it would include two Jewish holy sites in a national heritage upkeep program. Both these sites are where the Palestinians think they will establish their state.

Wake up guys, this aint going to happen.
In the first spot Hebron live about 10,000 Jews some in the city of Hebron itself and the rest in the immediate vicinity. Very few think it remotely possible to remove Jews from this area it would lead to civil war and simply is unthinkable. The present government is opposed to the Jewish removal from Hebron. It just won’t happen.

The other area is northern Bethlehem that is adjacent to Jerusalem . No sane government would agree to a foreign power to launch a state within meters of its capital city. That won’t happen either.
There will not be a Palestinian state as there are no real Palestinian people. This is the great lie. No one really believes it anyway.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Israeli Arab merry goround

Has anybody noticed?

Has anybody noticed that everyone has been saying for the past month that negotiations are to start between Israel and the Palestinians are to start very soon. Well that has not been happening has anyone noticed?
All the ridiculous statements that want to make people believe that some form of negotiations will start that will lead to some sort of peace agreement are ludicrous. Complete whimsical imagination is playing out in these statements, the truth needs to be told .
There are no real negotiations as there is no real negotiators. There is literally nothing to talk about and the only thing that is really happening is the attempt to create an atmosphere that some dialogue is taking place. It is negotiations on how to look best while discussing when negotiations will start. If anything things seem to be getting worse and not better as Israel has been accused of assassinating a top terrorist in the Hamas movement . In addition the Israeli government decision to designate areas in Hebron and Bethlehem as Israel historical sites has made many angry on the Palestinian side.
War looms from every side of Israel . The Hamas is Calling for a new intifada as the Hizbullah is rearming and preparing itself for war. Syria is threatening war as well. Have I mentioned Iran?

Many have said that Israel is paranoid of being thrown into the sea. There is good reason for this.
Its not going to be pretty.

Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Here we go all over again

War looms while Israel prepares

Frankly it does not look to good as far as war is concerned. The question has become not if there will be a war but rather when there will be one. The likely scenario is that sanctions as crippling as they may become will not stop Irans Nuclear intentions. That is probably wishful thinking. Israel will be forced to act as her very existence will hang in the balance. This may be predicated by a full naval blockade which is an act of war. Iran is likely to strike at Israel and American forces in the gulf area. When this ensues the Hizbullah and Syria are likely to join in the fray. Israels southern flank will be attacked by the Hamas as the Palestinian authority may cause trouble along the Green line and inside Judea and Samaria. That would make a war between Israel and 5 adversaries.

This is not dissimilar to what was happening before 1967 as Arab armies threatened to wipe Israel of the map. Nasser assured everyone that Israels end was near that is the same the Iranian leadership is saying. There were tense moments as the UN hemmed and hayed , the same is happening now.
Then Israel struck and changed the fats on the ground in a few hours and formally after 6 days.
It will be the same now as Israel will strike on a few different places but mainly against Iran. It may not take 6 days but it will be over relatively quickly. Then the Arabs can regroup and try to do it all over again in a few years or decades .

The storyline is the same the characters are different.

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Super Sunday

The Super Bowl.

The national holiday of the United States is not New years or the 4th of July or any other day it is Super Sunday. The day the champion of professional football is decided, Super Sunday. It is said that more beer is drunk and more food is eaten on this day than on any other day in the year. It is also a statistic that more wifes are beaten on this day than any other. The great American holiday.
When I was nine years old I watched Joe Namath and the New York Jets pull off the biggest upset in Super bowl history. Broadway Joe predicted victory and the Baltimore Colts predicted Namaths destruction. The Jets won despite the late entry of Johnny Unitas who almost saved the game for the Colts. A very funny thing happens when the “game" starts. The streets are abandoned and most places look like ghost towns as people are glued to their TVs for the game and even more for the commercials.

In essence this game plays a very important role in America defense. Its enemies underestimate the US when seeing how frivolous an entire country seems to become. How can a society like that be determined to fight determined to win.

For all your football fans out there, Happy holiday!

Thursday, February 4, 2010

The Arab-Israeli merry goround

Benjamin Netanyu speaks at Herzilya conference

Though most of his conference ending speech dealt with education the prime minister did address upcoming possible negotiations with the Palestinians. The Palestinian prime minister also spoke at this conference a few days before. Judging from what he said it is difficult to understand what will the point of the negotiations. That is if there will be negotiations. Right now there are negotiations on how to start indirect negotiations. If that works then there will be indirect negotiations on how to start direct negotiations. If that works then there will be negotiations.

If after all that negotiations do start they will likely stall almost immediately as the sides are so far from each other that negotiations may lead to war and not peace.

The Arab side demands a complete withdrawal to pre 1967 borders including East Jerusalem and Israel will never agree to that condition. Israel demands to keep hold of certain strategic areas in Judea and Samaria and the Palestinian side will not accept hat under any circumstance.

It’s a lot of work to get to negotiations that will go nowhere at best or lead to war at worst

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Benjamin Netanyu speaks at Herzilya conference

The Israeli prime minister spoke at the most important political conference of the year. His main topic was surprisingly education. His claim was that a strong army and strong economy will not be enough to keep Israel strong going forward. If the Jews who live here do not really believe we belong here Israel will not survive. The promised land as written in the old testament needs to be studied intensively and used as the real roadmap for Israel’s survival.

It was a speech that many of Bebe’s opponents will abhor . Why ? It was too Jewish and had too much nationalistic undertones. He even told a famous story of Napoleon and Tisha bav. That after discovering that Jews essentially mourn something that happened close to 2,000 years ago proclaimed that some day you will return to Israel and rebuild your destroyed temple. Netanyahu did not mention theemple part but relayed the general message.

As his own son was pictured winning a bible contest with a KIPA on his head and the latest news out about the dramatic rise in religious soldiers in secret commando units Bibi semi-religious speech wil make many leftists here very uncomfortable.