Saturday, June 5, 2010

Bleak, very bleak indeed

Now what.

It looks like there will be an international investigation into the Israels policies on the high seas near the Gaza strip. Regardless of who makes up the tribunal itself it will be bad for Israel, very bad. Previous tribunals of this kind almost always had only negative conclusions with regard to Israel and this one will be no different.
It seems that Israel is in one of the most difficult positions that it has been since its founding 62 years ago. The international community is against Israel like never before. Israel’s only real ally has a president who is decidedly not pro Israel in any sense. Iran Is building nuclear weapons and says very clearly that Israel is to be destroyed. Israel’s vaunted military has looked very bad of late making her adversaries less wary of engaging her in battle. There has even been a decision in international forums to reveal the extent of Israel’s own nuclear program. Things are looking bleak indeed.
The only thing that seems to be on Israels side is its robust economy that has done fairly well in a world climate of great difficulty.
What is likely to happen is the following.

Israel will become isolated like never before similar to the situation before the Six-day war. It will be faced with the option of living with a nuclear threat from Iran or removing that threat. It will choose to remove that threat. That will trigger a massive war on all fronts,maybe WW3 that everybody is talking about.

It won’t be pretty.

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