Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Stalled peace talks

What a surprise.

Negotiations between the Israelis and the PLO have been halted and are looking worse all the time. The new idea being banded about is that the Arab side will ask the United Nations and other world bodies for recognition of their state on the borders of the pre 1967 six-day war. No one is completely sure what that means as there is no real precedent to declare statehood and sovereignty on land being governed by another country. That is to stay there are approximately 500,000 people who are living in the area the PLO claims.

The likely scenario if the PLO does go in this direction is the end of the discussion of a two state solution. If the US does not veto this in the UN then Israel is likely to annex certain parts of Judea and Samaria and give the option for citizenship to local Arabs. In these areas there will be a massive building frenzy as there will be little reason not to build ( aside from international condemnation ). Then the one state solution will be the new show in town. With demographics being the star player .
With Israels incredible population explosion many are sure that the partial annexation will not alter the population ratio of Arabs and Jews. Well something else may happen.
War.
The Hamas Jihad and all other Arab groups will likely try to start another Intifada. This will likely be combined with a war in the north. That means theHizbullah Syria and Iran in the North and the Hamas /Jihad in the south. The PLO will take up the fight in the center of the country. If Israel is lucky Egypt will not join in this.

It won’t be pretty.

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