Israels prime minister has his faults, oration is not one of them.
In perhaps his best public speech of all time he simply and eleqently presented to the world that the Jewish people would not go like sheep to the slaughter.
The world believes for better or worse that he will direct an attack on Iran if no other choice is found.
This may bring chaos to the middle east but Iran understands that if they do get to close to the no return level, Israel will strike.
This is a game of nuclear chicken that Israel will not play.
Benjamins Netanyahu's entire political career has been based on stopping Iran from getting the bomb.
To contemplate that he will flinch when when Israels back is to the wall is unfathomable.
As the west is seen to be shying away from conflict a Israeli strike seems more likely.
Hard to say when this will happen.
Hold on to your hats.
Showing posts with label Iran. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Iran. Show all posts
Tuesday, October 1, 2013
Sunday, February 28, 2010
The Middle East mess
The main character in the formulation of the practical steps in creating a Jewish state has to be Benjamin Theodor Herzl. He was appalled by the anti-semitism in Europe and thought a Jewish homeland would solve this problem. He was very wrong.
Anti-semitism mutates and takes on different manifestations, it is now the rallying call for leftist liberal organizations and of course many Arab countries. In fact one country Iran is threatening to wipe Israel off the map and create a new middle east without Zionists. He is marching the region to another very big war. And the following could be a likely scenario.
Even after continued and extensive sanctions Iran continues to develop nuclear weapons. Barack Obama is hesitant about militarily engaging Iran on its nuclear program and has adopted James Baker s principle of keeping a nuclear Iran in check through mutual deterrence. Israel cannot live in the shadow of a nuclear threat and decides to act decisively to destroy Irans nuclear capability. It strikes multiple sites simultaneously in a lighting strike similar to the strike that started the six day war . Iran retaliates by firing multiple missiles all over Israel that strike all of Israel major cities. The hizbullah in the North join the fight and start to bombard Israel from Lebanon. The Hamas in the south joins the fight as well and attacks Israels southern flank . While all this is happening Syria tries to retake the Golan heights by force moving its armor and airforce towards Israeli positions on the heights. Many of the Arab residents of Judea and Samaria feel exhilarated by the impending demise of the Jewish state and riot starting a third Intifada.
This scenario is not dissimilar to what happened just before and after the six-day war. Israel was threatened then by Nasser to be thrown into the sea and the same threat can be heard from Achmennegad of Iran. Many other Arab countries wanted to take part in this planned annihilation of Israel and the same is true now.
Israel obviously hopes that the outcome will be similar to the six day way scenario while the Arabs have not forsaken their dream of annihilating Israel.
The fact that Israel has started distributing gas masks may give an indication where all this is leading.
It won’t be pretty.
Anti-semitism mutates and takes on different manifestations, it is now the rallying call for leftist liberal organizations and of course many Arab countries. In fact one country Iran is threatening to wipe Israel off the map and create a new middle east without Zionists. He is marching the region to another very big war. And the following could be a likely scenario.
Even after continued and extensive sanctions Iran continues to develop nuclear weapons. Barack Obama is hesitant about militarily engaging Iran on its nuclear program and has adopted James Baker s principle of keeping a nuclear Iran in check through mutual deterrence. Israel cannot live in the shadow of a nuclear threat and decides to act decisively to destroy Irans nuclear capability. It strikes multiple sites simultaneously in a lighting strike similar to the strike that started the six day war . Iran retaliates by firing multiple missiles all over Israel that strike all of Israel major cities. The hizbullah in the North join the fight and start to bombard Israel from Lebanon. The Hamas in the south joins the fight as well and attacks Israels southern flank . While all this is happening Syria tries to retake the Golan heights by force moving its armor and airforce towards Israeli positions on the heights. Many of the Arab residents of Judea and Samaria feel exhilarated by the impending demise of the Jewish state and riot starting a third Intifada.
This scenario is not dissimilar to what happened just before and after the six-day war. Israel was threatened then by Nasser to be thrown into the sea and the same threat can be heard from Achmennegad of Iran. Many other Arab countries wanted to take part in this planned annihilation of Israel and the same is true now.
Israel obviously hopes that the outcome will be similar to the six day way scenario while the Arabs have not forsaken their dream of annihilating Israel.
The fact that Israel has started distributing gas masks may give an indication where all this is leading.
It won’t be pretty.
Tuesday, February 9, 2010
Here we go all over again
War looms while Israel prepares
Frankly it does not look to good as far as war is concerned. The question has become not if there will be a war but rather when there will be one. The likely scenario is that sanctions as crippling as they may become will not stop Irans Nuclear intentions. That is probably wishful thinking. Israel will be forced to act as her very existence will hang in the balance. This may be predicated by a full naval blockade which is an act of war. Iran is likely to strike at Israel and American forces in the gulf area. When this ensues the Hizbullah and Syria are likely to join in the fray. Israels southern flank will be attacked by the Hamas as the Palestinian authority may cause trouble along the Green line and inside Judea and Samaria. That would make a war between Israel and 5 adversaries.
This is not dissimilar to what was happening before 1967 as Arab armies threatened to wipe Israel of the map. Nasser assured everyone that Israels end was near that is the same the Iranian leadership is saying. There were tense moments as the UN hemmed and hayed , the same is happening now.
Then Israel struck and changed the fats on the ground in a few hours and formally after 6 days.
It will be the same now as Israel will strike on a few different places but mainly against Iran. It may not take 6 days but it will be over relatively quickly. Then the Arabs can regroup and try to do it all over again in a few years or decades .
The storyline is the same the characters are different.
Frankly it does not look to good as far as war is concerned. The question has become not if there will be a war but rather when there will be one. The likely scenario is that sanctions as crippling as they may become will not stop Irans Nuclear intentions. That is probably wishful thinking. Israel will be forced to act as her very existence will hang in the balance. This may be predicated by a full naval blockade which is an act of war. Iran is likely to strike at Israel and American forces in the gulf area. When this ensues the Hizbullah and Syria are likely to join in the fray. Israels southern flank will be attacked by the Hamas as the Palestinian authority may cause trouble along the Green line and inside Judea and Samaria. That would make a war between Israel and 5 adversaries.
This is not dissimilar to what was happening before 1967 as Arab armies threatened to wipe Israel of the map. Nasser assured everyone that Israels end was near that is the same the Iranian leadership is saying. There were tense moments as the UN hemmed and hayed , the same is happening now.
Then Israel struck and changed the fats on the ground in a few hours and formally after 6 days.
It will be the same now as Israel will strike on a few different places but mainly against Iran. It may not take 6 days but it will be over relatively quickly. Then the Arabs can regroup and try to do it all over again in a few years or decades .
The storyline is the same the characters are different.
Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Looming crisis in the Korean Peninsula
North Korea defies the world, Iran keeping a close watch.
North Korea continues to defy the world by detonating a rather large Nuclear device and continuing to test ballistic missiles that could carry nuclear payloads. Other than some harsh rhetoric by Western leaders it is mostly unclear what is to happen now. Many expected a severe foreign policy test for President Obama in his first year. It looks like the test has arrived.
Obama has a few options to choose from. One option could be to completely isolate the North with a complete embargo and possible confiscation of its assets outside of Korea. That option would probably cause massive starvation for millions in the North and not undermine the regime to much.
Another option is a full military blockade of the North by Nato forces. This option is also problematic as this blockade is a clear act of war that would give the north a excuse to start another Korean War. A last option of course is to do nothing at all with all of its repercussions.
Iran is looking very carefully as to how the West will react to this latest outrage by North Korea. It is hoping that there will be major saber rattling and very little in terms of substance. They see the confrontation between the west and North Korea as a test case for themselves. .
President Obama is unlikely to do anything that might antagonize the north and cause a rekindling of the Korean War. The nuclear capability of the North certainly limits what steps can be taken by the west. Iran is betting that little will be done to confront North Korea in this new cold war crisis. It expects the same will happen if they manage to attain nuclear capability. The policy of the United States is to stop Irans quest for a bomb at all cost. The way this crisis is managed will go long way in showing Iran what the west has in store for it.
Did I mention Israel in all this?
North Korea continues to defy the world by detonating a rather large Nuclear device and continuing to test ballistic missiles that could carry nuclear payloads. Other than some harsh rhetoric by Western leaders it is mostly unclear what is to happen now. Many expected a severe foreign policy test for President Obama in his first year. It looks like the test has arrived.
Obama has a few options to choose from. One option could be to completely isolate the North with a complete embargo and possible confiscation of its assets outside of Korea. That option would probably cause massive starvation for millions in the North and not undermine the regime to much.
Another option is a full military blockade of the North by Nato forces. This option is also problematic as this blockade is a clear act of war that would give the north a excuse to start another Korean War. A last option of course is to do nothing at all with all of its repercussions.
Iran is looking very carefully as to how the West will react to this latest outrage by North Korea. It is hoping that there will be major saber rattling and very little in terms of substance. They see the confrontation between the west and North Korea as a test case for themselves. .
President Obama is unlikely to do anything that might antagonize the north and cause a rekindling of the Korean War. The nuclear capability of the North certainly limits what steps can be taken by the west. Iran is betting that little will be done to confront North Korea in this new cold war crisis. It expects the same will happen if they manage to attain nuclear capability. The policy of the United States is to stop Irans quest for a bomb at all cost. The way this crisis is managed will go long way in showing Iran what the west has in store for it.
Did I mention Israel in all this?
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
The Durban Circus
The latest conference against Racism has turned into a circus. For some there is just one country that does wrong that is Israel. Those who think this way are mostly from totalitarian regimes who routinely oppress their own people. That’s not important from their perspective as Israel the only democracy in the Middle East is the ultimate evil. The opening remarks by the president of Iran were a spectacle in itself. As he spoke many European union members filed out.
The Jews among us are not surprised by the hate rather a bit surprised as to how many countries openly showed their disdain for the Iranian leader. The gentiles who support the Jews were disturbed at the openness of Jew hatred long after the holocaust. The gentiles who hate the Jews are thrilled that Jew hatred has become mainstream once again. They are hoping that Iran will develop nuclear weapons to use against Israel.
Against this backdrop the Jewish State is training to strike Iran sometime in the not so distant future.
The circus will lead to apocalypse
The Jews among us are not surprised by the hate rather a bit surprised as to how many countries openly showed their disdain for the Iranian leader. The gentiles who support the Jews were disturbed at the openness of Jew hatred long after the holocaust. The gentiles who hate the Jews are thrilled that Jew hatred has become mainstream once again. They are hoping that Iran will develop nuclear weapons to use against Israel.
Against this backdrop the Jewish State is training to strike Iran sometime in the not so distant future.
The circus will lead to apocalypse
Sunday, March 29, 2009
Iran Israel and the Bomb
As the new Israeli Government is about form many around the world have raised eyebrows over the coalition that Benjamin Netanyahu has formed. It is completely unbelievable that at the last minute the leftist Labor government decided to join a mostly hawkish right wing party. What makes this even more bizarre is that the centrist Kadimah party refused entry into the government based allegedly on Netanyahu’s extreme right wing views. Labors position should have been naturally to the left of the centrist Kadimah party but instead it sees itself in the right wing government of Netanyahu.
Why?
Under normal conditions all this would not of happened, but these are not normal conditions. By all estimates Israel is preparing for worst case scenario as far as Iran is concerned. The head of the Labor party who happens to be Israel’s defense minister is considered by some as the best candidate to plan the preemptive attack on Iran. This is the only real reason for this bizarre political marriage between the right and the left.
The decision by the Israeli government to attack Iran will be the most important decision Israel will make since the preemptive strike of the Israeli Army that started the six-day war. It may be even more important. Iran would take notice of this very clear political union that is based almost completely on the Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
Israel is getting ready to strike as sanctions on Iran do not seem to be actually slowing down its nuclear program.
Iran should understand in no uncertain terms that the world or Israel will not let the Islamic republic go nuclear.
Whatever the repercussions and they may be considerable a nuclear weapon in the hands of a fundamentalist Moslem state is inconceivable.
It won’t happen.
Why?
Under normal conditions all this would not of happened, but these are not normal conditions. By all estimates Israel is preparing for worst case scenario as far as Iran is concerned. The head of the Labor party who happens to be Israel’s defense minister is considered by some as the best candidate to plan the preemptive attack on Iran. This is the only real reason for this bizarre political marriage between the right and the left.
The decision by the Israeli government to attack Iran will be the most important decision Israel will make since the preemptive strike of the Israeli Army that started the six-day war. It may be even more important. Iran would take notice of this very clear political union that is based almost completely on the Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
Israel is getting ready to strike as sanctions on Iran do not seem to be actually slowing down its nuclear program.
Iran should understand in no uncertain terms that the world or Israel will not let the Islamic republic go nuclear.
Whatever the repercussions and they may be considerable a nuclear weapon in the hands of a fundamentalist Moslem state is inconceivable.
It won’t happen.
Thursday, February 26, 2009
The President and the Prime Minister
We all wanted to be a wallpaper fly to listen to the conversations between world leaders on the burning issues of the day.
The burning issues are almost unprecedented. The world financial crisis is at its worst since the great depression. A fanatical fundamentalist regime is developing weapons of mass destruction and threatening to destroy Israel and harm the West. It boggles the mind to think if Hitler had a Nuclear Bomb. Now there is a new Hitler that threatens the Jewish state and no one seems to be doing anything about it.
The United States has been at the forefront of efforts to isolate Iran with mixed results so far. Most think that military action is becoming more and more the only option. How will a young president with little or no experience in the international arena deal with his own Nuclear missile crisis? It seems he will be tested as Kennedy was.
This might be a typical conversation between The President of the United States and the Prime Minister of Israel
Netanyahu: Congratulations Mr. President , You are indeed an inspiration to many.
Obama: Thank You Mr. Prime Minister , I should also congratulate you on winning your election.
Netanyahu: yea well it wasn't exactly what I had in mind
Obama: yes I know
Netanyahu: You know as well as I do that this 2 state solution is pointless and ludicrous.
Obama: I know but will never admit saying that
Netanyahu: I have to pretend its an option as well, I think it's the worst possible scenario for all involved.
Obama: 100% of the third worls and 90% of the free world wants this 2 state madness, What can we do?
Netanyahu: its simple Mr. president, very simple. We set up a team to study the issue and come up with solutions. We continue the process and never reach a conclusion.
Obama: can this work? Are people so stupid?
Netanyahu: It has worked till now why should things change now
Obama: Please never tell anybody what I said about the 2 state solution.
Netanyahu: Don't worry Mr. President your secret is safe with me
Obama: What do we do about Iran?
Netanyahu: Simple, we nuke them.
Obama: laughing , that's crazy and you know it.
Netanyahu: okay then , just give us bunker penetrating bombs and we will do the Job.
Obama: ( four letter expletive ) I promised in my campaign to solve this problem diplomatically. I wish I was in Hawaii surfing.
Netanyahu: you don't know how to surf!
Obama: I could learn. IF you Israeli decide to beat the crap out of Iran then I will need to do something
Netanyahu: what would that be?
Obama: not sure. ( obama on his phone ) : Ram Emanuel get in here.
Ram Emanuel : Yes Mr. President
Obama : what do you think we should do with this Iran nuclear crisis?
Ram Emanuel : ( says something in Hebrew to Mr. Netanyahu ) TIKRA OTEM HAPARSEEM HAEYLO.
Obama: Woah, no Hebrew here, what the hell did you say anyway?
Emanuel: Nice tie Mr. Prime minister. Mr President we need to let the Israelis do the dirty work if necessary. We could try a blockade like Kennedy did in 63.
Obama: I am the president and I will decide! We will start a complete blockade of Iran and see if that works. If not then …
Netanyahu: We will attack Iran in 6 months if they do not halt their production of nuclear weapons. We heave no choice.
Obama: what will happen then?
Netahyahu: not sure, maybe third world war maybe nothing. Not sure
Obama: that's great, just terrific.
That might be a conversation that would take place. The free world seems a bit tired in dealing with a new tyrant and Iran is counting on this weakness. If Israel is cornered and forced to attack Iran alone this will be the most significant military operation since the End of the second World War. It is a scenario that few wish to see. It may be the only choice that remains if President Obama is hesitant. If he acts he will have passed his test of his young presidency and this may propel the economy to world to come out of its depression.
The burning issues are almost unprecedented. The world financial crisis is at its worst since the great depression. A fanatical fundamentalist regime is developing weapons of mass destruction and threatening to destroy Israel and harm the West. It boggles the mind to think if Hitler had a Nuclear Bomb. Now there is a new Hitler that threatens the Jewish state and no one seems to be doing anything about it.
The United States has been at the forefront of efforts to isolate Iran with mixed results so far. Most think that military action is becoming more and more the only option. How will a young president with little or no experience in the international arena deal with his own Nuclear missile crisis? It seems he will be tested as Kennedy was.
This might be a typical conversation between The President of the United States and the Prime Minister of Israel
Netanyahu: Congratulations Mr. President , You are indeed an inspiration to many.
Obama: Thank You Mr. Prime Minister , I should also congratulate you on winning your election.
Netanyahu: yea well it wasn't exactly what I had in mind
Obama: yes I know
Netanyahu: You know as well as I do that this 2 state solution is pointless and ludicrous.
Obama: I know but will never admit saying that
Netanyahu: I have to pretend its an option as well, I think it's the worst possible scenario for all involved.
Obama: 100% of the third worls and 90% of the free world wants this 2 state madness, What can we do?
Netanyahu: its simple Mr. president, very simple. We set up a team to study the issue and come up with solutions. We continue the process and never reach a conclusion.
Obama: can this work? Are people so stupid?
Netanyahu: It has worked till now why should things change now
Obama: Please never tell anybody what I said about the 2 state solution.
Netanyahu: Don't worry Mr. President your secret is safe with me
Obama: What do we do about Iran?
Netanyahu: Simple, we nuke them.
Obama: laughing , that's crazy and you know it.
Netanyahu: okay then , just give us bunker penetrating bombs and we will do the Job.
Obama: ( four letter expletive ) I promised in my campaign to solve this problem diplomatically. I wish I was in Hawaii surfing.
Netanyahu: you don't know how to surf!
Obama: I could learn. IF you Israeli decide to beat the crap out of Iran then I will need to do something
Netanyahu: what would that be?
Obama: not sure. ( obama on his phone ) : Ram Emanuel get in here.
Ram Emanuel : Yes Mr. President
Obama : what do you think we should do with this Iran nuclear crisis?
Ram Emanuel : ( says something in Hebrew to Mr. Netanyahu ) TIKRA OTEM HAPARSEEM HAEYLO.
Obama: Woah, no Hebrew here, what the hell did you say anyway?
Emanuel: Nice tie Mr. Prime minister. Mr President we need to let the Israelis do the dirty work if necessary. We could try a blockade like Kennedy did in 63.
Obama: I am the president and I will decide! We will start a complete blockade of Iran and see if that works. If not then …
Netanyahu: We will attack Iran in 6 months if they do not halt their production of nuclear weapons. We heave no choice.
Obama: what will happen then?
Netahyahu: not sure, maybe third world war maybe nothing. Not sure
Obama: that's great, just terrific.
That might be a conversation that would take place. The free world seems a bit tired in dealing with a new tyrant and Iran is counting on this weakness. If Israel is cornered and forced to attack Iran alone this will be the most significant military operation since the End of the second World War. It is a scenario that few wish to see. It may be the only choice that remains if President Obama is hesitant. If he acts he will have passed his test of his young presidency and this may propel the economy to world to come out of its depression.
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