Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Here we go all over again

War looms while Israel prepares

Frankly it does not look to good as far as war is concerned. The question has become not if there will be a war but rather when there will be one. The likely scenario is that sanctions as crippling as they may become will not stop Irans Nuclear intentions. That is probably wishful thinking. Israel will be forced to act as her very existence will hang in the balance. This may be predicated by a full naval blockade which is an act of war. Iran is likely to strike at Israel and American forces in the gulf area. When this ensues the Hizbullah and Syria are likely to join in the fray. Israels southern flank will be attacked by the Hamas as the Palestinian authority may cause trouble along the Green line and inside Judea and Samaria. That would make a war between Israel and 5 adversaries.

This is not dissimilar to what was happening before 1967 as Arab armies threatened to wipe Israel of the map. Nasser assured everyone that Israels end was near that is the same the Iranian leadership is saying. There were tense moments as the UN hemmed and hayed , the same is happening now.
Then Israel struck and changed the fats on the ground in a few hours and formally after 6 days.
It will be the same now as Israel will strike on a few different places but mainly against Iran. It may not take 6 days but it will be over relatively quickly. Then the Arabs can regroup and try to do it all over again in a few years or decades .

The storyline is the same the characters are different.

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