Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Israel and American elections

The rather bizarre election process in the US will have little to no effect on the peace process in the Middle East.
The simple reason is that there is no peace process and the two state solution is a non-starter.
(it always was but now all know this)
What Obama could not do in eight years no one else will do in four or eight.
It is possible that finally the American embassy will be officially moved to Jerusalem after so many presidents promised to do so and did not.
That will be symbolic but a step in the right direction.
If Trump or Cruz is elected the Iran deal may be jettisoned.
In which case some interesting things may happen.
Unclear what those might be at this time.
At this point it does not look like a Republican can make it to white house.
Hillary will be more of the same for the next four years of stagnation and the diminishing power of the US around the world.
The direct effect on Israel will be minimal.
One of the three people Clinton, Trump or Cruz will be president.
Hard to see any one of those as the leader of the free world.
Very hard to see indeed.
As the two state solution ceases to become the policy of any rational leader we may see some bold newer solutions to the regional issues at hand.
Hold onto your hats ladies and gentleman.

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