Sunday, June 18, 2017

Nothing is happening

There is no peace process, there never was.
All attempts to impose or even negotiate some type of interim agreement will go nowhere.
Jason Greenblatt is coming again to the middle east to break a stalemate.
Good luck.
There are those that fear some kind of agreement that will not change the status of Jerusalem and not expel any Jews from Judea and Samaria.
The PA president will be forced into an agreement of this kind goes the thinking.
He will have no choice.
This "interim" agreement is something neither side wants or believes in.
The sick frail leader of the PA would risk the remainder of his life to even consider such a agreement.
It is possible that Israel would agree on a interim agreement that would solidify autonomy in the B and C sections.
That would be conditional on a number of things that the PA has consistently rejected.
This bizarre continuation of informal talks has one purpose only.
To continue to buy time indefinitely.
The PA somehow believes that Israel at some point will capitulate, it believes time is on their side.
It has believed so for fifty years.
There will not be an interim agreement or a permanent one.
It is an impossibility.
What then is to happen in the next fifty years?
Incredibly enough probably not much.
Incredible in the sense that its hard to imagine another fifty years of military rule in Judea and Samaria.
But as it is in other areas when you do nothing then nothing will happen.
The Israelis may annex some areas close to Israel.
This will not change things ostensibly.
These moves will be called illegal by the PA and others.
Then new negotiations will start.
These talks will lead nowhere as all others before.
There will be threats by all the classic enemies of Israel and possibly another mini-revolt of local Israeli Arabs.
All those things will not change things too much.
The purpose of the Arab side is to destroy Israel.
It's that simple and has not changed in fifty or even one hundred years.
It will not change in the next fifty or even hundred years.
It's a stark reality and not a comfortable idea but it is the stark reality.
There are things that don't change and this is one of them.
There can be only unilateral moves as there is almost nothing the sides agree upon.
Major moves in this regard will not happen in all probability.
But you never know I suppose.
It's very similar to a soap opera that guarantees the same plot whenever you watch.
Let's see what happens.

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