Thursday, June 8, 2017

The next 50 years

The 100th anniversary of the six-day war is halfway there.
There will likely be even then people who will claim that the the 2 state solution is the only way.
There will always be crazy people that will continue to say crazy things.
There will not be a Palestinian state in fifty years or a hundred years.
What then is to happen in the next 50 years from now?
There will slowly evolve a one state reality from the river to the sea.
The Hamas in Gaza will likely collapse in the next few years and reintegrate itself into Egypt.
As far the Arabs in Judea and Samria some will become Israeli citizens and some will become Jordanian citizens.
Jordan may be taken over by militant Palestinians or other kinds of extremist factions and may cease to exist as we know it.
It may become a Palestinian state after all.
If that happens and the Hamas government collapses as it must then that new entity may wage war with Israel.
Israel may need to attack and recover transjordan.
Iran will probably try to get a nuclear weapon but either the US or Israel will prevent them from doing so by force.
Israel will grow stronger and most of the Jews of the world will be living in it.
More reasonable Arab countries may become real allies of Israel like Saudi Arabia.
In fifty years from now the writer of these lines will no longer be with us.
But who knows?

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