Fasten your seatbelts

It's hard to say but it looks like Donald Trump is going to shock the world on Tuesday and become president.
The momentum is his and there is the feeling in the air that he is winning and will become commander and chief.
If so What will happen?
Expect a 10 -15% drop in world markets
Expect the dollar to fall compared to other currencies.
Expect The fed in December to raise interest rates.
Expect after a week or so that markets start recovering.
It's going to be a bizarre world as Trump takes the oath of office.
Many believe that if Clinton seems a bit ahead in the polls that really means Trump is surging.
Hard to say but hell will break loose whatever the outcome of this election.
If Hillary squeaks by Trump will accuse her of cheating.
If Trump wins it will shake the world up very much.
Hard to see the loser congratulating the winner as is the American custom.
The interim days until the oath of office will be filled with interrogation and innuendo.
It's not even clear that even if Clinton wins she will take the oath of office.
It is bizarre but that might be the situation.
Hang on to your hats ladies and gentleman.
The worst or best is yet to come.
President Trump
Sounds OK

It's happening, its incredible!

There is a momentum swing and it spells trouble or even doom for Hillary Clinton.
If Donald Trump wins the election it will be the most shocking event in American Politics since the assassination of JFK.
Nothing less my friends.
The impact of an extreme right wing president in the white house will have immediate repercussions.
These will include an immediate 15-20% correction in the stock market.
An almost immediate interest hike by the fed of at least 1%.
Rioting in different parts of the US.
This will all happen before Mr. Trump takes the oath of office.
Afterwards things will get interesting indeed.
He will try to build a wall along the Mexican border and order the proper authorities to deport illegal aliens ASAP.
He will mostly try to deal with trade agreements to improve them as much as possible.
It might help if he has some wise advisers help him in his first few months.
It is likely that he will calm down his rhetoric in many areas.
He will be the first president that actually moves American embassy to Jerusalem.
How he will cancel Iranian deal no one really knows including himself.
It's going to be a lot of fun.
Stay Tuned!

The Debate, it's happening.

Donald Trump doe snot prepare for debates, he thinks he knows what he needs to say and refuses to prep.
Hillary has been preparing and preparing and needs to do well.
She must realize that Trump has the advantage and needs to very well in these debates.
She would do well if she attacked his ignorance on many foreign policy issues.
People like Trump but realize that his knowledge of foreign policy issues are limited.
This probably will not hinder him from making correct decisions in that regard as he will surround himself with experts.
He will set tone and they will provide details.
But she can try.
It's her best bet.
She needs to make him look dumb.
A tall task indeed.
Trump just needs to stay calm and continue to hammer away on issues raised up till now.
He would do well to ask Hillary how she is feeling as many worry about her health.
She is a weak candidate and will likely lose.
President Trump has a nice ring to it.
When in New York he can stay at his Hotel.
It's going to be a lot of fun.

The Middle East, whats next?

As The Islamic state seems to be in decline the face of the new middle east is taking shape.
Saudia Arabia is now aligned with Israel in its fight with radical Islam.
The Palestinian issue whatever that means has become a non starter as few are discussing the problem.
Israel is dragging its feet in changing the discourse of the final status of Judea and Samaria.
Those with any common sense understand that Israel is not the problem but part of the solution.
Bold measures need to be taken by Israeli leaders.
Those measures are clear.
Annexation of parts of Judea and Samaria to Israel.
Those areas in Gush Eztion bloc and Maaaleh Adumim should become a legal part of Israel as the Golan heights were some thirty six years ago.
This should be done immediately.
Many of the Arabs in these areas will opt for citizenship or may wish to continue as permanent residents.
In any case they will benefit for improved health care and other social services.
The present situation of just waiting and waiting is ridiculous.
Benjamin Netanyahu is just sitting back and doing nothing
Sitting back and doing noting is not an option.
It never was.

BDS

Boycott Divest Sanctions.
It's the latest craze and its all the rage in some circles.
This veiled anti-Israel campaign is aimed at destroying Israel economically.
It will not work.
This boycott can do damage to people who work in Israeli factories which are often Arabs who find themselves unemployed.
The Israeli economy is too diverse to be seriously threatened by any boycott.
In fact in some circles the opposite is happening as Israeli products are being purchased to counter BDS actions.
Some numbers have been mentioned as to the extent of lost revenue but they are hard to verify as many products that are not sold in one place often find other markets.
The Israel economy is robust and BDS will not do it major harm.
Why then are so many fighting this movement?.
The answer lies in the true meaning of this movement and what it stands for.
It is the modern trendy age old anti-Jewish hatred rearing its ugly head.
it is no more than a new twist on the blood libel.
It is evil and must be eradicated.
It is not more complicated than that.
Did I say it would not work?

Israel and American elections

The rather bizarre election process in the US will have little to no effect on the peace process in the Middle East.
The simple reason is that there is no peace process and the two state solution is a non-starter.
(it always was but now all know this)
What Obama could not do in eight years no one else will do in four or eight.
It is possible that finally the American embassy will be officially moved to Jerusalem after so many presidents promised to do so and did not.
That will be symbolic but a step in the right direction.
If Trump or Cruz is elected the Iran deal may be jettisoned.
In which case some interesting things may happen.
Unclear what those might be at this time.
At this point it does not look like a Republican can make it to white house.
Hillary will be more of the same for the next four years of stagnation and the diminishing power of the US around the world.
The direct effect on Israel will be minimal.
One of the three people Clinton, Trump or Cruz will be president.
Hard to see any one of those as the leader of the free world.
Very hard to see indeed.
As the two state solution ceases to become the policy of any rational leader we may see some bold newer solutions to the regional issues at hand.
Hold onto your hats ladies and gentleman.

Annexation, the only solution

Israel is at a crossroads of sorts.
The two state solution clearly will never happen.
No other real solution is being put on the table and there seems to be a limbo of sorts.
Those in limbo are the Arab residents of Judea and Samaria who are not citizens of any real state.
Not clear what still needs to happen for another solution to be discussed.
The Jewish residents of Judea and Samaria are also in limbo and want at least some parts of the " West Bank" to be officially Israel.
The Israel prime minister is doing nothing in this regard and seems to be just waiting it out.
A leader needs to take action when action is needed and clearly the leadership of Israel is not ready to do this.
The latest terrorist war seems to be slowly grinding to a halt and now is the time to change things for everybody's betterment.
The annexation of area C would be a good start to all this.
Bibi may have to retire before this happens.
The time has come.