Monday, March 16, 2015

The Arabs and the world await

The elections in Israel are being watched by very many people around the world.
Israels ability to stand firm on its basic security interests are being closely scrutinized.
Many of Israels enemies including Hamas and Hizbollah have mentioned the weakness of the resolve of Israel to persevere in the long run.
They perceive a constant weakness which manifests itself in Israelis leaving country and pressure from within to give in to demands that will compromise its security.
Militarily Israel seems much to strong to be defeated but they think constant pressure of war and conflict will eventually weaken it enough to destroy it.
They will see a defeat of the right wing as a sign that slowly but surely Israels resolve is weakening.
What all this means is that if the left does somehow scratch a victory in the elections.(hard to see how that will happen though) All can expect the new government to be severely tested.
What that might mean is a new Intifada or severe unrest in Judea and Samaria and attacks from the Hamas on Israels southern border.
They are very anxious that Bibi no longer will be the prime minister, very anxious.
What is also likely to happen in these elections is the realization of the Arab parties to the political strength that they have.
They may astound all by receiving 15 Kenesset seats.
They likely will become the third largest party in the Knesset and may even become the head of the opposition.
They will discover an incredible reality.
If they vote in high numbers they will essentially be able to further the dream of some which would be to turn Israel into a state of all its citizens and take away the Jewish character of the state.
This is another drama that Israels enemies are looking at and trying to see how this further weakens Israel.
The left winning outright seems unlikely but the prospect of a national unity government after all else fails seems possible if not likely.
If Bibi stays prime minister he may agree, if not he may retire from politics.
Going to be a crazy day tomorrow and not just tomorrow.

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